Each brief highlights patterns, inflection points, and developments worth watching before they become obvious.
The public never gets the "raw truth." Truth is not an objective entity, it is constructed, framed, and weaponized.
Geopolitics is a game of influence, perception, and deterrence. Some leaders cultivate an image of unpredictability to instill fear, forcing their opponents to tread carefully, unsure of how far they are willing to go. This is the essence of the Madman Theory
A very personal word and "coming out" to the world of intelligence
Spoiler: no sophisticated tool, accessible to any "ordinary" citizen
Predictive markets have shown a 70–75% accuracy rate This week, I decided to talk something a tiny bit different. More technical, but extremely useful in these times of volatility
extended framework
