Thinking in crisis: the architecture of leadership under uncertainty
In a crisis, most people react. Few people decide. Almost none of them think. We were trained to lead in predictable systems. But those systems are collapsing. And with them,
How to think and decide when information is incomplete and pressure is real. Uncertainty, trade-offs, cognitive traps, timing, and responsibility. A practical lens on judgment in complex, high-stakes environments.
In a crisis, most people react. Few people decide. Almost none of them think. We were trained to lead in predictable systems. But those systems are collapsing. And with them,
Following the conversation with Kenneth Dekleva, the discussion (in my mind) did not stop. I wanted to deepen it. Grey Zone Operators represent an "extraordinary" psychological profile. Extraordinary.
Meet Kenneth Dekleva. A psychiatrist, a former senior US Dept of State diplomat, a geopolitical risk analyst, a Salzburg global fellow, a senior fellow at the George HW Bush Foundation
Spoiler: no sophisticated tool, accessible to any "ordinary" citizen
Why being negative and pessimistic is an underestimated quality ? Our world often celebrates positivity and optimism. And that’s a good thing.