On April 22, 2025, the tourist destination of Pahalgam, Kashmir, became a scene of tragedy.
This attack coincided with U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance’s diplomatic visit to India.
While shocking, such timing isn't accidental... it's part of a clear historical pattern: a strategic modus operandi used repeatedly by terrorist groups worldwide.
Terrorist groups regularly exploit significant geopolitical events - such as state visits, elections, or summits - to amplify the impact of their attacks.
This strategic timing ensures maximum global attention, disrupting diplomatic efforts and shaping international perceptions.
Understanding terrorist strategy
Terrorist groups select their timing to maximize psychological impact, media coverage, and political consequences. They leverage geopolitical events such as diplomatic visits, elections, and summits to:
- Amplify their message and visibility.
- Embarrass governments and security agencies.
- Undermine political and diplomatic initiatives.
- Influence public and international opinion.
Decoding the modus operandi
Terrorists typically follow a distinct pattern:
1. Identification of high-visibility events
Groups strategically monitor political calendars and international diplomatic engagements, identifying moments when global attention is guaranteed: such as foreign state visits, peace talks, or high-stakes elections.
2. Target selection
They select symbolic or vulnerable targets - often civilians or infrastructure - to maximize emotional and media impact. Tourist hubs, crowded public spaces, transportation networks, or diplomatic missions are frequent choices.
3. Timing and execution
Attacks are executed before, during or just after significant events. This deliberate synchronization magnifies global attention, creating lasting memories associated with these moments.
4. Post-attack messaging
Groups quickly claim responsibility or allow speculation to spread, reinforcing their intended political narrative, further undermining security assurances and diplomatic processes.