How to answer the question behind the question
What to do when you’re asked the wrong question
3 min read
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Decision-making under uncertainty
How leaders think and decide when information is incomplete.
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Why 99% who call themselves "leaders" are not
"Leader". One of the most overused words in business, politics, and social media. Everyone with a title, a team, or a bank account now calls themselves a leader.
2 min read
Why Pythagoras' theorem might be the most practical lesson you ever earned
I recently saw a viral post on LinkedIn. Someone wrote: “Why did we waste time at school learning Pythagoras’ theorem? Completely useless. I wish I had learned personal finance, relationships,
3 min read
How to know when it's time to leave: a protocol for chaotic times
Personal story of the blackout in Portugal, and the protocol I built following this event.
5 min read
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How to think the unthinkable: weak signals, extreme futures, and foresight (with Mehdi Nemri)
In the world of intelligence and strategy, everything starts with a simple mission: see what others don’t. We collect data. We track weak signals. We build scenarios. And sometimes, we DARE to anticipate the unexpected.
11 min read
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The most dangerous threats are already inside.
In corporate security, everyone prepares for external risk: Hackers. Leaks. Market volatility. Competitors. I've seen firsthand crazy budgets put into it. Don't get me wrong, it&
1 min read
On personal security and perception
Months ago, I attended a high-profile event. Lots of important people, plenty of influence in the room. But one individual caught my eye: not because of their charisma, but
3 min read
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Thinking in crisis: the architecture of leadership under uncertainty
In a crisis, most people react. Few people decide. Almost none of them think. We were trained to lead in predictable systems. But those systems are collapsing. And with them,
3 min read
In the mind of a Grey Zone Operator (2/2)
Following the conversation with Kenneth Dekleva, the discussion (in my mind) did not stop. I wanted to deepen it. Grey Zone Operators represent an "extraordinary" psychological profile. Extraordinary.
4 min read
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In the mind of a Grey Zone operator w/ Kenneth Dekleva (1/2)
Meet Kenneth Dekleva. A psychiatrist, a former senior US Dept of State diplomat, a geopolitical risk analyst, a Salzburg global fellow, a senior fellow at the George HW Bush Foundation
8 min read
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How to create the ultimate insider threat (declassified CIA manual)
Spoiler: no sophisticated tool, accessible to any "ordinary" citizen
2 min read
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The 10th man rule or... the art of contrarian thinking in decision-making
Why being negative and pessimistic is an underestimated quality ? Our world often celebrates positivity and optimism. And that’s a good thing.
4 min read